Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Portuguesa vs Grêmio Prudente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 2
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |