Portuguesa vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
20.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
INT
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
BRA
14%
22%
65%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
13%
28%
59%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
COR
2 - 1
GUA
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
COR
11%
25%
64%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |