Portuguesa vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
0 - 2
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
SAO
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 0
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAT
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |