Aşgabat vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aşgabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
AGA
2 - 1
TAL
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ALT
4 - 0
AGA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
1 - 0
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
HTT
4 - 1
AGA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
2 - 1
DAO
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
MER
2 - 5
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MER
2 - 0
HTT
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
DAO
0 - 4
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MER
9 - 0
BAG
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |