A'Ali vs Al-Riffa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A'Ali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
MAL
2 - 2
ALI
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
3 - 0
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 3
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
SIT
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
MUH
4 - 0
ALI
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Riffa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
RIF
5 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
SIT
1 - 1
RIF
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
RIF
1 - 2
SIT
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RIF
2 - 2
KHA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIF
1 - 3
SIT
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |