AU Güímar vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AU Güímar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
YAI
0 - 1
GUI
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 3
CDM
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 1
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
GUI
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
UDS
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
COT
3 - 2
UDS
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
UDS
1 - 0
UNV
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LAN
2 - 2
UDS
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UDS
3 - 0
SDT
59%
20%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |