GSD Arrone vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GSD Arrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MPO
3 - 0
GSA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GSA
2 - 1
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 2
GSA
74%
18%
9%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
GSA
3 - 0
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORV
1 - 2
GSA
27%
24%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
SCA
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
DER
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
GAV
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MPO
1 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |