Calangianus vs Monterotondo Lupa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calangianus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
FBC
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FBC
0 - 1
STC
15%
22%
63%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 0
FBC
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
FBC
0 - 1
GAE
16%
22%
62%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 0
FBC
76%
16%
9%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
LRO
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
CYN
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
USD
2 - 2
MON
35%
26%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
3 - 1
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |