Cincão vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GEM
0 - 1
CIN
31%
23%
45%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FRB
1 - 1
CIN
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
FOZ
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CIN
2 - 0
ROM
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FOZ
1 - 2
CIN
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
PRU
60%
21%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
COA
0 - 2
GRE
19%
21%
61%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
PST
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
FRB
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 3
NPR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |