AC Merate vs Colognese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLG
3 - 2
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 0
USS
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +4 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VOG
4 - 1
ACM
74%
16%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Colognese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
COL
4 - 1
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COL
1 - 0
SAC
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
ALZ
33%
26%
42%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |