9 de Julio Morteros vs Sarmiento Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
9 de Julio Morteros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
9DJ
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
9DJ
0 - 1
RAC
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
9DJ
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
9DJ
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
9DJ
1 - 0
GPJ
60%
20%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
DEF
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 1
SAR
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
TIR
47%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 1
SAR
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |