7 de Setembro SM vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
7DE
2 - 0
AGU
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
COR
2 - 0
7DE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
7DE
2 - 0
AQU
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
7DE
1 - 1
IVI
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
AQU
0 - 2
7DE
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
AGU
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
AQU
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IVI
1 - 0
NAV
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 3
7DE
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |