7 de Abril vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
57.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 1
CIG
16%
17%
68%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CIG
0 - 0
ZFC
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
CIG
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 5
CIG
20%
18%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
CIG
2 - 3
RDJ
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
RDJ
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
1 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
1 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
BON
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |