7 de Abril vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CIG
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 3
CIG
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 1
SAO
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 0
SER
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 0
SER
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
SFC
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |