4 de Julho vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
69.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
VIT
7%
16%
76%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 2
4DE
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 2
4DE
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 4
4DE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FOR
6%
17%
77%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
DBO
0 - 2
CUI
7%
14%
80%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
LUV
83%
13%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CUI
3 - 0
URO
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
CUI
11%
18%
72%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 1
CUI
5%
13%
82%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |