3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TAC
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CCP
4 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
RÑU
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 2
JAG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 2
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |