3 de Febrero vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
LQE
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
12O
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
26%
40%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
LIG
1 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
12O
0 - 2
LIB
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
RÑU
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
AME
1 - 3
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |