3 de Febrero vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CCP
5 - 5
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
6 - 0
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 4
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |