3 de Febrero vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
PFC
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RÑU
1 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
RPA
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GUT
1 - 1
SAN
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPO
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
RÑU
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RPA
1 - 1
FER
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FER
3 - 1
GUT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
FER
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FER
5 - 1
CAC
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |