3 de Febrero vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
DEP
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
2DE
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
IND
3 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 3
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 3
12O
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
12O
0 - 0
SPT
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
12O
3 - 1
RPA
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |