3 de Febrero vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
12O
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
BOC
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
BOC
1 - 0
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
CCP
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |