1860 München vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WUR
2 - 0
MUN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 2
HAN
16%
23%
62%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
STP
2 - 2
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
FCU
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
MUN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
F95
1 - 1
KSC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
EBT
2 - 1
F95
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
F95
3 - 0
BOC
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
F95
50%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
F95
1 - 1
SGF
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |