Union Berlin vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GWA
0 - 5
FCU
6%
15%
79%
|
92 | 35 | 57 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
BRA
1 - 9
FCU
8%
19%
73%
|
92 | 16 | 76 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 2
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FCU
0 - 3
HEI
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FCU
2 - 2
BRE
37%
25%
38%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SVF
1 - 7
STU
2%
9%
89%
|
97 | 38 | 59 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ARB
2 - 4
STU
7%
13%
80%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
RBL
2 - 3
STU
53%
23%
24%
|
96 | 99 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
STU
4 - 0
AUG
66%
19%
14%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
STP
0 - 1
STU
14%
20%
65%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |