Union Berlin vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 1
SVS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2012 |
EBT
4 - 3
FCU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 0
KAI
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 1
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ING
1 - 3
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FSV
0 - 2
ING
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ING
0 - 0
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
ING
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |