Union Berlin vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BIE
2 - 1
FCU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 2
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
F95
2 - 0
FCU
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
STP
1 - 0
FCU
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 2
HAM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HAM
3 - 1
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
BOR
2 - 1
OSN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
DIE
5 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 2
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WUP
0 - 4
BOR
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |