Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
HOF
1 - 3
FCU
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
SCF
31%
24%
44%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
S04
1 - 1
FCU
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
FCU
4 - 1
HAN
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
FCU
4 - 0
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARB
0 - 2
BVB
9%
15%
77%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 4
BYM
2%
7%
90%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARB
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
ARB
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |