Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
HSV
0 - 2
KOL
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
WEH
0 - 3
KOL
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
KOL
3 - 2
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
KOL
53%
25%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 3
HSV
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
M05
5 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
0 - 2
STP
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 1
DAR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
PAD
1 - 0
ERZ
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |