Köln vs Bayern München analysis

Köln Bayern München
84 ELO 96
-0.5% Tilt 18.3%
86º General ELO ranking
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
5.6%
Köln
11.7%
Draw
82.7%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
Köln
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
82.6%
Win probability
Bayern München
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-3%
-2%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

Köln
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
13º
11º
71
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Köln
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Köln
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
30%
24%
46%
84 80 4 0
12 May. 2023
KOL
Köln
5 - 2
Hertha BSC
HER
54%
23%
23%
83 78 5 +1
05 May. 2023
LEV
B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
Köln
KOL
60%
21%
19%
83 89 6 0
29 Apr. 2023
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
28%
24%
48%
83 87 4 0
22 Apr. 2023
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Köln
KOL
46%
23%
31%
82 83 1 +1

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
RBL
68%
18%
14%
96 91 5 0
13 May. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
6 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
86%
10%
4%
96 78 18 0
06 May. 2023
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
4%
10%
86%
95 80 15 +1
30 Apr. 2023
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
86%
10%
4%
95 77 18 0
22 Apr. 2023
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
5%
11%
84%
95 84 11 0