1º Dezembro vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
1DE
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 0
MOU
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
1DE
1 - 3
PRA
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
1DE
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
BEN
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
UDL
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
ANG
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |